Research
Articles
DAVID M. PRIMO
University of Rochester
MATTHEW L. JACOBSMEIER
University of Rochester
JEFFREY MILYO
University of Missouri at Columbia
Estimating the Impact of State Policies and Institutions with Mixed-Level Data
Researchers are often
interested in the effects of state policies and institutions on individual
behavior or other outcomes in sub-state-level observational units, such
as election results in state legislative districts. In this article, we
examine the issue of clustered data in state and local politics research
and the analytical problems it can cause. Standard estimation methods
applied in most regression models do not properly account for the clustering
of observations within states, leading analysts to overstate the statistical
significance of coefficient estimates, especially of state-level factors.
We discuss the theory behind two approaches for dealing with clustering—clustered
standard errors and multilevel modeling—and argue that calculating
clustered standard errors is a more straightforward and practical approach,
especially when working with large datasets or many cross-level interactions.
We demonstrate the relevance of this topic by replicating a recent study
of the effects of state post-registration laws on voter turnout (Wolfinger,
Highton, and Mullin 2005).
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