Research
Articles
GERALD C. WRIGHT
Indiana University
Do Term Limits Affect Legislative Roll Call Voting?
Representation, Polarization, and Participation
In a nationwide survey Carey, Niemi, Powell, and Moncrief (2006) found that termlimited
state legislators feel less constrained by their constituencies. I use direct
measures of legislative activity to examine how this "Burkean shift" in attitudes is
manifested in roll-call behavior. With a new dataset consisting of all competitive
state legislative roll calls for the 1999–2000 sessions and a new measure of district
constituency preferences, I examine three hypotheses: that term-limited legislators
are less representative of their constituents, are more polarized, and participate
less in roll-call voting. I find no evidence that term-limited legislators are any less
representative, and no differences in levels of party polarization appear associated
with the term limits reform. I find that the impact of term limits on roll-call voting
is manifested in decreased legislative effort, but this effect only appears in the more
demanding legislatures. The results are consistent with the sorting model in which
elections are reasonably efficient at selecting leaders whose preferences align with
those of their districts, but the prospect of re-election has little role in achieving
representation of constituents' ideological preferences.blic debate.
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