INSUN KANG
University of Rochester
RICHARD G. NIEMI
University of Rochester
LYNDA W. POWELL
University of Rochester
Strategic Candidate Decisionmaking and Competition in Gubernatorial Nonincumbent-Party Primaries

In contrast to research on congressional and state legislative elections, strategic entry into gubernatorial contests has been largely unexplored. We examine the influence of incumbency, gubernatorial popularity, and other factors on candidate strategic decisions and the resulting level of competition in nonincumbent-party gubernatorial primaries between 1974 and 2000. We find that incumbency and gubernatorial popularity interact in their effect, with popular incumbents discouraging competition and unpopular incumbents encouraging it. The size of the potential candidate pool, the condition of the state economy, state partisanship, and state party endorsement practices also influence competition.